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December 15Th ICE Cotton Futures Continue To Shrink Consolidation

2008/12/18 0:00:00 44

In December 15th, ICE cotton futures continued to shrink.

At present, all over the world

cotton

Import demand has continued to decline, cotton retail consumption is still not improving.

India's policy towards cotton is conducive to the export of US cotton and India cotton has no price.

international market

In the case of cotton traders, they did not intend to sell short in the futures market.

The insipid response of the market to the USDA monthly report does not mean that prices will rise. On the contrary, traders are very strong at the price of cotton prices at historic lows.

Another reason for the rise of ICE futures in December 15th is that

dollar

Another big drop.

After five months of strong appreciation, the dollar seems to be beginning to retreat, and there may be a substantial adjustment.

From macroscopic perspective

Economics

In the face of it,

U.S.A

The government's various economic promotion programmes will devalue the US dollar, so cotton, crude oil and gold will benefit from this.

Despite the sharp decline in the US dollar index, the trend of commodity futures was different, crude oil and heating oil rose sharply in the morning, but eventually lowered 2-3%.

In industrial metals, copper and aluminum fell by 2.17% and 1.81% respectively.

In precious metals, gold was 14.50 dollars last week, and silver rose by 0.40-10.63 dollars.

In the grain market, soybeans fell $8, corn rose by $1.75, and wheat rose by $7.

From a technical point of view, ICE futures trend neutral, in recent weeks has been consolidated between 39.50-48.00 cents.

Recently, prices have begun to move closer to the middle of this area.

We believe that cotton prices will find support at a slightly lower price, and the possibility of further downtracking in the near future remains.

Editor: vivi

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