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Bull Market Losses Revelation: Frequent Change Is The Number One Killer

2010/12/10 15:02:00 52

Stock Bull Market

In 2008,

equity market

The collapse brought cold waves to the stock market.

After a year, the bull market makes the stock market again.

投资者备感暖。这一年,中国股市走出了一个漂亮的V形反转。在近一年的时间里,上证指数上涨约78%,深证成指大涨113%,两市平均涨幅高达96%。


However, the blowout of index and stocks did not let most investors' wallet follow the trend of "rising to the top of the boat". There were few investors who could win the market or even keep up with the rhythm of those stocks and pulled out "Changyang".


First look at a survey.

China Securities Daily and Sina Finance recently jointly launched the "2009 stock market investor award survey".

Click on "view" to find that this rare encounter.

bull market

Most of the stocks lost the market, and about 30% of them lost their profits.


Look at a firm offer again.

In January 10th, the securities weekly of a famous media in Zhejiang launched a column similar to the real market competition, "two hundred thousand yuan portfolio".

By the end of December 11th, Shenzhen gained 120.27% in the same period, Shanghai gained 78.34%, and the average rose 99.31%. The three players who participated in the real operation were "two plus one deficit", but all of them lost the market.

The best T, the yield is 54.10%, the running index is 45.21 percentage points, the second G yield is only 17.90%, the running index is 81.41 percentage points, the worst yield is X, and the index is doubled, the adverse market loss is 0.17%, and the running index is 99.48 percentage points.


Bear market losses, nothing to say, but bull market loss or loss, but it is really unthinkable, leaving people too much inspiration.


Shareholders bull market losses one revelation: frequent stock swap is the leading hand of bull market speculation.


Take the above real game as an example.

The best T is famous for its accurate stock selection and fast forward and quick progress. Its biggest feature is that it changes stocks almost every week, and most of them buy or sell at the opening price on Monday.


The first trading day after the start of the game?? in January 12th, T bought 37300 shares of Shanxi coking in Shanxi with the opening price, and sold it in second weeks.

Since then, T has operated back and forth on many stocks such as Sharon, Cheng Xing, Haihong holdings, TEDA and Taurus energy.

In the end, T won 54.10% of the three players, but still failed to keep pace with the market.


The "frequent swap" manipulation has certain advantages in the market or stocks in the stage of rein holding or concussion, but in a big bull market, it often outweighs the gains.

It is better to move stocks than to move less and move less.

If T adopts a buy in and hold strategy, it will not only be easier to operate, but will also have higher investment returns.

Take Jinniu energy as an example. The buying price of T is 22.60 yuan, and the selling price is 22.85 yuan. In December 11th, the closing price of the stock has risen to 44.83 yuan, but because of its failure, nearly doubled its earnings.

Even though Shanxi's coking industry has bought the first stock all the way, the increase has reached 85.98%, which is 31.88 percentage points more than that of frequent stock swap.


Shareholders bull market losses two inspiration: short selling at the bottom is a big injury that leads to bull market speculation.


In the eyes of investors, G can be called the "black horse" master.

During the 2007 solid market competition, G was impressed by the accurate capture and long-term holding of the big black horse sailing shares (7.30 yuan to buy, 36 yuan to sell) to achieve a profit of 411.24% and win the first prize.

Just as people expected G to catch "dark horse" and continue to write brilliantly in this year's bull market, G handed in a poor answer.


The stock market's first and most urgent blowout this year is from January 13th to February 16th.

From the start of the real game, G has been in the open position, afraid to buy.

Until February 16th, the market had risen 19 days, or up to 28%, when G could not help building the first time Huaxia Bank (9.68 yuan).

However, from the next day after the establishment of G, the market appeared for two weeks in a row and at the same time it was also a big adjustment this year, which gave G a fatal blow.

Fortunately, after half a month, G grabbed the opportunity to sell smoothly at a bid price of 9.68 yuan.

In this battle, G returned empty handed. In March 9th, G launched two degrees, and 12.65 yuan built Haitong Securities. After 9 days, it was almost flat handed at a price of 12.70 yuan and failed again.

In this way, G one empty warehouse, the market rose, G came into the market, the market fell, one time after another, missed the opportunity again and again, only 17.90% of the final gain, running index 81.41 percentage points, and the great bull market.


Looking back at the operation track of G, it is easy to find that the bottom gap and missed opportunity are the main reasons for the bull market.

The stock market is like this. Expectations often fail, and worries often happen. If they want to empty positions, they will go up and rise. They have been brilliant, and will not always be profitable; the risk of high positions is huge, and the risk of low positions can not be underestimated.

Moreover, if the low position empty position is "one mistake", then the high price chasing is wrong.


Shareholders bull market losses three inspiration: catching up and down is the "fatal injury" that causes the bull market to lose money.


Compared with the top two players, X seems to be "worse luck", not only failed to win the market, but also became the only competitor who lost money in the bull market.

In the case of an increase of 96.15%, X lost 0.17% of its market losses.


On the face of it, the "culprit" that led to the embarrassing outcome of the X bull market is not Fuxing share. In fact, catching up and falling is the "behind the scenes push" for the X bull market.

At the beginning of the new year, Fuxing share has become one of the few star shares in the two cities. In just a month and a half, it rose more than 60%, attracting everyone's attention and stimulating X's nerves.

In February 14th, X made bold and dangerous decisions in the "operation plan"? "Next Monday, 7.5 yuan to buy shares in Fuxing".

On Monday, X got what he wanted.


However, "Fuxing" did not bring "luck" to X.

Subsequently, the 9 trading day, Fuxing shares fell sharply, X market value synchronized diving.

Two weeks later, X sold his teeth.

This sale made X's profit turn from a profit of 7% to a loss of 13%.

Since then, X, who has been deeply hurt, has no longer ventured to take risks. From March 2nd to May 11th, the market expanded from 2066 to 2646.

In the end, X lost 0.17% of its earnings against the market and 99.48 percentage points of the running loss index, which became an unforgettable memory of X at the close of December 11th.


X has been famous for its short-term activism.

At the beginning of the real market competition, X also made a successful attack in Tianjin, and gained more than 7% of the profits.

However, the short-term leader eventually ended up in the "late season", and "injury" was a low-level and traditional adventure in pursuit of ups and downs.

Faced with a loss report card, watching the market and stocks are dancing, the taste is bitter or astringent, only X can get it.


"Old stocks must not be caught up and down" is an old saying that is often seen by others as ears.

The ups and downs of the stock market in 2009, as well as the success and failure of investors, once again warned people that catching up and falling is the "fatal injury" that leads to the loss of the bull market.

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