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Stock Market Outlook: More Opportunities For Future Stocks

2015/11/18 19:26:00 36

StocksStocksInvestments

This weekend, events are more frequent than ever, which makes the stock market full of variables in the coming week.

Let's first comb out the good news and bad news that happened after last Friday's closing.

In the next 5 trading days, it will be more likely to suppress first.

But if it goes too fast, it will still encounter the regulation of the certification company.

As far as possible to maintain the trend of slow cattle, and try to issue more new shares, I am afraid that is the basic idea of management.

In the next month and a half, there will be more opportunities for stocks.

But influence

index

I am afraid that the bigger blue chips will be difficult to make.

When the black swan event occurs, the main force will use them to pull index support.

Small and medium capitalization stocks will be active again and again.

1, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange will modify the "margin trading rules".

financing

The leverage ratio dropped from 2 times to 1 times.

That is to say, if you have 1 million of your own funds, you can borrow 2 million of the stock and 3 million shares of the stock, and then you can only borrow 1 million yuan, and you can get a total of 2 million yuan.

This will help the stock market out of the slow bull market, but in the short term it will be bad.

2, Yao Gang, the No. 1 vice chairman of the securities and Futures Commission, lost his voice and heard rumors that he colluded with overseas forces to make short profits in China's stock market.

Anti corruption is the long-term great benefit of China's stock market, but it is bad for the short term trend, especially some of the Zhuang stocks.

3, the IPO will be restarted in the coming week. About 20 companies will announce the first batch of 10 companies' prospectus of interest, and in November 18th, the trial will restart and consider the listing application of two companies.

Restarting IPO is a great benefit to the economy, but it is short term for the stock market.

4, the terrorist attacks of IS organization in Paris, France, caused heavy losses.

The French nuclear powered aircraft carrier "De Gaulle" has gone to the Persian Gulf to prepare for retaliation.

A new round of war on terror is expected to break out, and commodity markets and international stock markets will enter a period of volatility.

In November 14th, the media reported.

International Monetary Fund

(IMF) a statement by President Lagarde, which indicates that the RMB's inclusion in the application of the "SDR" basket of currencies has more than 90% chance of being passed in November 30th.

This means that the mainstream international community agrees that the renminbi will become a new "hard currency".

It is of great significance for China to implement the international strategy of "one belt and one road".

My view is that if the main force of the market does not support the market, there will be a sharp decline on Monday, and the adjustment trend on Thursday and Friday has been established.

On financing, "leveraging", stock supply "plus leverage", equivalent to adding cold water in boiling water, while removing the following firewood, the market will certainly cool down.

But the market is clearly not going to end. In November 30th, the "SDR deadline" has not yet been passed. The restart of IPO has just arrived at a critical moment, and it is impossible for the main force not to support it.

In fact, the market is highly controlled. The stock market value of the certificate company and Huijin Company is as high as 2 trillion and 600 billion yuan. The majority shareholders and executives of the listed companies can not be reduced until the end of the year, and the empty hands are basically controlled.

It can be said that the current stock market, the main market players want to play.

As for the black swan incident outside, it will bring about an impact, but it will not produce a real effect in the short term.

Unless there is a big storm like the Asian financial turmoil in 1997 before and after raising interest rates in the US dollar.


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